I have been digging through the pdf dataset that Florida Surgeon General Joseph Ladapo used to stop recommending Pfizer and Moderna Covid jabs for men between the ages of 18-39. This follows on from Florida’s declining to recommend the jabs for healthy children and adolescents, meaning that the state of Florida no longer recommends the jabs for males under 40. The Surgeon General cited higher than expected rates of heart attacks in young men for 28 days following the mRNA vaccines. Igor Chudov also reported on this:
They also noted no rise in all cause mortality following vaccination, which surprised me. That is wonderful news if true, but were they doing any statistical shenanigans to hide the bodies? I hopped over to the study to check the methods section:
“Data sources Data from Florida’s reportable disease repository (Merlin), Florida State Health Online Tracking System (FLSHOTS), and death records data from vital statistics were linked.
Setting and study population
For the primary analysis, Florida residents aged 18 years or older who died within 25-weeks of COVID-19 vaccination since the start of the vaccination roll-out (December 15, 2020) were included. Individuals were excluded if they (1) had a documented COVID-19 infection, (2) experienced a COVID-19 associated death, (3) received a booster, or (4) received their last COVID-19 vaccination after December 8, 2021 (to ensure each individual had the 25-week follow-up period to experience the event of interest). To allow for death registration, the study end date for both analyses was June 1, 2022. Exposure and outcomes The exposure of interest was the 28-day risk period following COVID-19 vaccination. Two outcomes were assessed. Natural all-cause deaths (i.e., excluding homicides, suicides, and accidents) and cardiac-related deaths. Cardiac-related deaths were included if their death record contained an ICD-10 code of I30-I52. For the primary analysis, only participants that experienced the exposure and outcome were included in this study.”
So the study had a good basic design: follow people who got the jabs for 28 days and note if they died within 25 weeks or five months from their last Covid shot. It seems that they excluded a lot of people from the end analysis: anyone who had a documented Covid infection, anyone who died with/from Covid-19 (hospital incentive structures in the USA indicate a lot of deaths got lumped in there), anyone who got a booster (does booster include the second shot or only 3 and up?) or who received their last jab after December 8, 2021. They found statistically elevated risk of cardiac related deaths in young men within 28 days of the jabs. Would ICD-10 code 130-152 be the only way these cardiac related deaths were classified? Are there other ICD-10 codes that relate to cardiac deaths?
Primary Analyses
Follow-up began on the day of their last COVID-19 vaccination. Participants were not censored upon death, rather, they were followed for the entire 25-week follow-up period.1–4 Conditional logistic regression models offsetting by interval-length were used to estimate RIs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) comparing incidence in the 28-day risk period to incidence in the baseline period (i.e., the rest of the follow-up period).2,5 Seasonality was controlled for in each model unless the sample size was too small. Potential confounding by age was reduced by limiting the follow-up period to 25-weeks. Separate models were fitted for each outcome and subgroup analyzed. Estimates were considered statistically significant if the 95% CI did not contain 1. Data were formatted into a stacked dataset, where exposures for each individual are stacked in columns (i.e., multiple rows per individual), using the SCCS package in R. Conditional logistic regression models were estimated using the clogit function from the survival package.
Results Primary Analysis
Table 1 presents the results for the primary analysis for natural all-cause and cardiac-related deaths following COVID-19 vaccination. All-cause deaths following vaccination In the 28 days following vaccination, no increase in risk was observed for all-cause deaths. A statistically significant decrease was observed for participants 60 years or older in the 28 days following vaccination (RI = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.94 - 0.99).
I think the decrease in death numbers for people over 60 following vaccination was likely related to excluding Covid-19 deaths which are a much greater proportion of deaths in older age groups.
Cardiac-related deaths following vaccination In the 28 days following vaccination, a statistically significant increase in cardiac-related deaths was detected for the entire study population (RI = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.03 - 1.12). Stratifying by age group revealed RIs were significantly higher for age groups 25 - 39 (RI = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.35 - 3.47) and 60 or older (RI = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.01 - 1.10). The remaining age groups failed to reach statistical significance.
I think it is good news that they stopped recommending the mRNA jabs for men 18-39, though I have to wonder why women of childbearing age were not included in the recommendations. I wonder about lawsuits against the military in its mandate that young men receive something that raises their risk of death. Perhaps it is just the start of a slow walking back.
I learned from my 16 year old daughter that her best friend’s mother died recently. If you are of the persuasion please say a prayer for Christina’s family she leaves behind her husband and 16 year old daughter. Now Christina DID NOT die from the Covid jabs. She was diagnosed with an aggressive form of breast cancer in early 2020 and was considered too immunocompromised to ever receive any of those “vaccines.” This weighed heavily in my daughter’s decision to return to Michigan and live with her father in 2020 in support of her best friend. Me and Christina hung out drinking one night in 2020. She was a very sweet woman with a good sense of humor. My prayers go to her 16 year old daughter she lost her mother much too soon.
I suppose it’s just a reminder that death happened even before Covid and the jab dystopia arrived on the scene. I just can’t fathom why anyone would want more of it…
Shouldn't this be a uniform decision around the world since the pandemic restrictions were...remember we are all in this together....lockdowns, social distancing, masking......how has the science changed now when it comes to the shots.....
The implications of the FLORIDA recommendations are HUGE and Jeff Childers in his daily Coffee&Covid substack Newsletter, spells out WHY this is a mile-stone and the beginning of the avalanche.
https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/c-and-c-news-saturday-october-8-2022?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
I inserted below the full commentary from his Substack on the topic:
💉 I’m not exaggerating when I tell you that this next story is possibly the most significant development in the ongoing vaccine story — since day one.
Yesterday, Florida broke bad, again, this time by issuing an explosive new advisory RECOMMENDING AGAINST THE COVID INJECTIONS FOR ALL MEN UNDER 40 YEARS OLD.
First of all, I am not making that up. Second, it gets even better.
Florida’s Department of Health issued the new guidance yesterday. It begins by stating that Florida conducted its OWN analysis of the mortality risk following the jabs, using an evidence-based technique called the “self-controlled case study,” which was originally developed for evaluating vaccine safety.
Let’s pause for a moment, and consider the implications from just that one fact.
First of all, in over two years, Florida is the first and only state to conduct a study of vaccine safety. Period. And it would not have happened without Governor DeSantis appointing a heavyweight, highly-credentialed intellect like Harvard-trained doctor Joseph Ladapo as the state’s Surgeon General.
Second, the federal Centers for Disease Control, with a budget larger than some countries’ annual gross domestic product, has never studied jab outcomes. For some reason. Nor has the FDA. Nor has the NIH. Each of those agencies would naturally have been expected to laser-focus on vaccine safety from the very first injection. Nope.
So Florida did it for them.
Governor DeSantis just shattered the gigantic bulletproof glass wall protecting Pfizer and Moderna from ACCOUNTABILITY. You were probably only thinking in terms of how the new guidance would affect shot uptake. Think bigger. A LOT bigger. The guidance now constitutes a state-sanctioned finding that the shots are NOT “completely safe and effective.” Judges will pay attention to this.
Here’s what Florida’s analysis found:
[T]here is an 84% increase in the relative incidence of cardiac-related death among males 18-39 years old within 28 days following mRNA vaccination… With a high level of global immunity to COVID-19, the benefit of vaccination is likely outweighed by this abnormally high risk of cardiac-related death among men in this age group… Males over the age of 60 had a 10% increased risk of cardiac-related death within 28 days of mRNA vaccination [while] Non-mRNA vaccines were not found to have these increased risks among any population.
“Abnormally high risk.” In other words, males 18-39 were almost twice as likely to die after getting the shot. It’s also worth noting that the analysis didn’t even consider non-fatal vaccine-induced injuries.
Finally, the one-page guidance expanded the state’s previous recommendation from March against vaccinating children for covid, now including infants and toddlers. Florida now recommends against jabbing ANY kids, regardless of age.
This is SO huge. Let’s talk about all the implications. First, corporate media will ignore the story, because that’s the psyop playbook for bad news that can’t easily be discredited. They’ll just pretend like it didn’t happen.
There’s a reason I predict corporate media will NOT follow the usual path of criticizing Florida’s analysis for not being peer-reviewed or using the right data or being politically motivated or whatever. Since Florida is a STATE GOVERNMENT, media can’t just call the guidance an ‘outlier.’ To discredit the guidance, they’ll have to do all that other stuff PLUS come back with opposing research evidencing the shots REDUCE mortality.
Which they can’t. They can’t produce that research. Because that research does not exist. And everybody knows it.
Next, unlike media, doctors and healthcare institutions cannot ignore the new guidance, because they MUST follow best practices to get their covid liability protection. And Florida just established a new best practice, or ’standard of care,’ as follows:
Based on currently available data, patients should be informed of the possible cardiac complications that can arise after receiving a mRNA COVID-19 vaccine.
See? The new best practice requires ALL patients to be informed of cardiac complications before they receive a covid shot, and kids and men under 40 told that the state recommends AGAINST the shots. Before jabbing patients, pharmacies, doctors, nurses, and every other healthcare professional in Florida will now have to inform people of the cardiac risk, or their liability shields may disappear in a puff of legal dust.
ALL patients — men and women, regardless of age — who are confronted by doctors insisting on jabs can now produce a single page, Florida’s new guidance, and shut the doctors up. It’s a mic drop moment for patients in Florida, but even patients in other states can wield the guidance — because there’s no opposing evidence, apart from vague hand-waving by federal officials.
Students in colleges can use this guidance. Military service members can use this guidance. Employees can use this guidance. All they have to say is, “I have some family history of cardiac problems, so I don’t think the risk is justified IN MY CASE.” Done!
Finally, lawyers now have something to work with, something to get their fingernails under, a place to start. My attorney brain is already bursting with ideas.
Get ready! Like everything, it will take time, but it’s going to be GREAT.
Links:
https://floridahealthcovid19.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/20221007-guidance-mrna-covid19-vaccines-doc.pdf
https://floridahealthcovid19.gov/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/20221007-guidance-mrna-covid19-vaccines-doc.pdf